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North America LNG Exports to Double As Qatar Wins WIth Long-Term Contracts

The capacity for North American LNG exports is set to double within the next three years to 24.4 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) from 2023 levels, the EIA said on Tuesday.

The forecast assumes that all LNG projects that are currently under construction begin operating as planned in Mexico, the United States, and Canada.

The EIA expects the bulk of the export expansion will be in the United States at 9.7 Bcf/d, with Mexico and Canada accounting for the remaining 3.3 Bcf/d. This is based on the 10 new projects currently under construction in North America—5 of which are in the United States, including Plaquemines Phases I and II, Corpus Christi Stage III, Golden Pass, Rio Grande Phase I, and Port Arthur Phase I.

While North America is ramping up its LNG export capacity, global demand for LNG is expected to increase by more than 50% by 2024, according to Shell.

Qatar, Australia, and the United States remain global leaders in the LNG industry. But it is Qatar that will account for 40% of all new LNG supplies globally by 2029, its government has said, as major projects like its North Field expansion. This would lift its export capacity by 85%.

And it already has a lot of future deals on the book. QatarEnergy has signed a number of long-term LNG deals, the most recent of which was one with Kuwait in a 15-year deal. In its quest for LNG dominance, Qatar has also chartered dozens of new ships to carry those LNG exports.

In July, a federal judge overturned President Biden’s January pause on reviewing and approving LNG export applications, arguing that the pause was “completely without reason or logic”.

U.S. LNG exports have been touted as a fossil fuel that will trigger a reduction in  CO2 emissions from the U.S. power sector, emitting 145 million fewer metric tons by 2030, according to researchers in a 2024 paper titled The Market and Climate Implications of US LNG Exports.

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By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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  • Yurika Sousa on September 08 2024 said:
    I’m impressed by Qatar’s LNG strategy. Their plan to boost capacity by 85% and secure long-term deals shows they’re really positioning themselves as a leader in the global energy market. It’s exciting to see their strategic approach paying off.
  • Yurika Sousa on September 08 2024 said:
    I’m impressed by Qatar’s LNG strategy. Their plan to boost capacity by 85% and secure long-term deals shows they’re really positioning themselves as a leader in the global energy market. It’s exciting to see their strategic approach paying off.
  • George Doolittle on September 03 2024 said:
    The USA still imports natural gas from Canada so combining the two means the US Utility Sector continues to receive absolutely stunningly cheap fuel to run their respective generation capacity which includes not just natural gas needs noting meaning the USA still has coal, nuclear, hydro, wind, solar, geothermal all combined holistically into an amazingly reliable and robust *"national grid"* that continues to act as a massive growth driver for the US economy which should be doing far better than is currently is but still there is this *"as is"* yes absolutely so this is a minor but not meaningless effort to start fleshing out this remarkable and critical to understand *"energy story which is still very much true BIG TIME"* meaning really important this whole story be told and told correctly
  • Mamdouh Salameh on September 03 2024 said:
    It is Qatar which will dominate the global LNG market accounting for 40% of all new LNG supplies globally by 2029 as its production capacity is projected to reach 110 million tons (mt) by the end of this year rising to 127 mt by 2028. This would lift its export capacity by 85%. In fact, it will be the largest LND exporter in the world.

    Qatar has already a lot of future deals on the book. QatarEnergy has signed a number of long-term LNG deals primarily with China, Asia-Pacific countries, Germany and Kuwait. In its quest for LNG dominance, Qatar has acquired the largest LNG tanker fleet and has also chartered dozens of new ships to carry those LNG exports.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Global Energy Expert

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